|
Dividend Stock Basics
Here’s a novel idea: Buy
stocks that pay you to own them! They are called dividend-paying stocks,
and you make money, even if they don’t go up much.
Better still, stocks
with solid dividend prospects don’t go down as much as other
stocks, because when they try, the resulting dividend yield boost attracts
more buyers.
Dividends Defined
Dividends as used here, means cash dividends that companies pay on a
quarterly basis. We’re not considering stock dividends sometimes used to
implement stock splits or company spin offs, or one-time cash payments.
Normally, your broker
adds your received dividend to your cash account. However, some offer
automatic reinvestment plans. With these plans, your dividends are used to
purchase additional shares, even if the dividend equates to only a
fraction of a share.
Dividend Stock Types
Utilities frequently come to mind when talk turns to dividends. But banks
and a variety of manufacturing and service companies also pay significant
dividends. These stocks pay dividends equating to as high as 4.5% annual
yields. Troubled stocks sometimes pay higher dividends. reflecting the
market’s concern about the firm’s future prospects.
The maximum income tax
on these dividends will be 15%.
Definition of Dividend Yield
The estimated dividend payouts over the next 12 months divided by the
price you pay for the shares. For instance, the yield would be 5% if you
pay $20 per share for a stock expected to pay $1 per share dividends over
the next 12 months.
Many investors look to
tax-advantaged entities such as real estate investment trusts (REITs),
Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) and Business Development Companies
(BDCs) for higher yields. REIT’s MLPs, and BDCs do not pay corporate
income taxes as long as they pay out most of their earnings to
shareholders. However, their shares trade on the major exchanges, the same
as any other stock. Their dividend yields typically range between 4% and
10%, and in some instances, even higher. Dividends paid by firms such as
REITs that do not pay income taxes are taxed as ordinary income.
REITs, MLPs & BDCs
REITs are required to invest only in real estate. There are two types of
REITs, property REITs and mortgage REITs. Property REITs own real estate
such as shopping centers, office buildings, residential apartment
complexes, etc. Mortgage REITs do not own property, instead, they invest
in mortgages.
MLPs are managed by general partners. Other
investors are termed unit holders (shareholders) and are limited partners.
MLP tax advantages appeals to major energy companies and many have
transferred their petroleum and natural gas pipeline assets to MLPs that
they control as general partners. MLPs offer a potential tax advantage to
you because a portion of their payouts, termed distributions, can be
tax-deferred. However, they may not be suitable for tax-sheltered
accounts, so consult your tax advisor before putting them into IRAs, 401k
plans, etc.
BDCs are special purpose entities formed to
provide financing and management assistance to small- and mid-sized
companies.
Picking the Best Dividend-Payers
Successful dividend investing
requires finding candidates with: 1) minimal risk of dividend cuts and/or
other negative events, and 2) a high probability that the dividends will
increase while you own the stock.
You win two ways when
the dividend increases. First, the yield on your initial investment goes
up with the dividend, and even better, the dividend increase often propels
the share price higher. Conversely, a dividend cut shrinks your yield and
often precipitates a drop in the share price as well.
Here are seven simple
checks to help you pick the best dividend candidates. You can find the
required data on sites such as Yahoo! (finance.yahoo.com) or MSN Money
(moneycentral.msn.com).
Dividend Stock Checklist
1) We’re Here to Get
Paid
Dividends are the point of this exercise, so stop here if the stock isn’t
paying a decent dividend. How much is enough? That depends on your needs
of course. Here are my rules of thumb.
Action:
Disqualify general stocks with less than 3% dividend yield. Disqualify
REITs, MLPs, and BDCs yielding less than 5%.
Of course higher is
better, as long as the dividend is safe, which leads us to the
issue of financial strength.
2) Stick With the
Rich Guys
Cash-strapped firms may view dividend payouts as a luxury they can do
without. Financial problems start with too much debt, so you can avoid the
problem by sticking with low-debt companies.
The financial leverage
ratio, which is total assets divided by shareholders’ equity (book
value), is a good all purpose debt measure. A leverage ratio of 1.0 means
that the company has no debt, and the higher the ratio, the more debt.
The average leverage
ratio of all companies making up the S&P 500 Index is around 5. Ratios
below 2 equate to very low debt, and those above 9 signal very high-debt.
Action: stick
with firms with below-average debt, that is, with leverage ratios below
5.0, and lower is better. (Find the Leverage Ratio on MSN by clicking on
Financial Results, then Key Ratios, and finally select Financial
Condition)
This rule does not apply
to banks, savings and loans, and similar institutions. Borrowed money is
their inventory, and most are high-debt by definition. However, the U.S.
Government carefully monitors all U.S.-based financial institutions, and
solvency is not a significant issue.
Minimizing risk is key
to successful dividend investing, and the following three checks help to
rule out high-risk stocks.
Action:
Disqualify candidates not listed on the NYSE, AMEX, or the NASDAQ.
Action:
Disqualify stocks trading below $5
5) Pay
Attention to Stock Analysts
Since stock analysts are
notorious for their overoptimistic buy/sell ratings, it pays to take heed
when they actually do recommend selling a stock.
Strong buy = 1
Buy = 2
Sell = 4
Strong Sell = 5
A 2.0 consensus rating means that the average
of the compiled ratings is 2.0, but doesn’t necessarily mean that any one
analyst rated the stock at “buy.” For instance, if two analysts rated a
stock, one at “strong buy” (1.0) and the other at “hold’ (3.0), the result
would be a 2.0 consensus rating.
Consensus ratings of 2.6
to 5 tell you that most analysts are rating the stock at “hold,” which
translates to “sell,” or worse. They may be wrong, but they may also be
right. As a dividend investor, you don’t want to bet on that coin toss.
Action:
Disqualify stocks with consensus analysts’ ratings from 2.6 to 5. (Find
analyst ratings on MSN by selecting Analysts Ratings and then Current Mean
Recommendation).
The following two checks
help you to identify stocks with good dividend growth prospects.
6) History Teaches
Some companies consider dividend growth a high-priority, while others
prefer to use the money elsewhere. You can tell which is which from the
firm’s dividend growth history.
Action:
Disqualify stocks with less than 5% average annual dividend growth, and
higher is better. (On MSN, the 5-Year Dividend Growth is listed on the
Dividend Rate row in the Financials section of the Company Report)
7) Dividends Don’t
Fall Out of the Sky
Since dividends ultimately come from earnings, dividends can’t grow if
earnings don’t. So dividend investors need to know whether a company’s
future earnings are headed up or down. Analysts’ long-term average annual
earnings growth forecasts are a good resource for this information.
Your best prospects are
companies expected to grow earnings in the 5% to 14%, or so, range. Slower
growers won’t generate much dividend growth. High earnings-growth stocks
are usually richly priced, subject to earnings shortfalls, and thus rarely
make good dividend candidates.
Action:
Disqualify candidates with less than 4%, or more than 15%, forecast
long-term average annual earnings growth. (Find the long-term forecast
earnings growth on MSN by clicking on Earnings Estimates, then select
Earnings Growth Rates, and look in the Next 5-yrs column)
These seven tests help
you to identify dividend-paying candidates worth pursuing. But these tests
are just a start. You’ll be a better investor if you learn as much as you
can about each stock before you invest. |