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Detective Commentary

May Commentary (5/5/08)

Review of April 2008 Results & This Month's Changes

Good Month
April was a good month for dividend stocks. All but one of our 13 portfolios registered gains, and most were sizable.

Our Closed-End Fund and Canadian Royalty Trust portfolios, both averaging 8% returns for the month, did the best. Then came Real Estate Investment Trusts, Master Limited Partnerships, and Speculators, all up 7%. Our Insurance and Oil portfolios returned 6%, on average. Utilities gained 5% and our Large Bank picks returned 4%. Canadian Income (Business) Trusts, Manufacturing & Services, and Regional Banks all recorded 3% average gains. Our Business Development Corporation portfolio, down 3% for the month, was our only loser.

Our Sample Portfolios all recorded gains for the month.

Seventeen of our stocks and funds upped their dividends in April, and some substantially. The champion, an Oil pick, announced a 38% hike. Also notable, one of our Canadian Royalty Trusts set a 33% distribution increase and another CANROY announced a 20% hike.

What Happened?
Since many dividend payers rely on borrowing to finance growth, fading concerns that the entire credit market would implode triggered the rally in dividend stocks.

What’s Next?
Yes the market has been reasonably strong. Nevertheless, economic reports are mixed at best. It’s anybody’s guess which way the economy, and hence the markets, are headed next. Consequently, we continue to advise caution and only invest funds that you won’t need for at least a year so that you can ride out unexpected market downturns.

What’s New?
This month, we’re adding two new stocks, one Large Bank, and one Speculator, and we're selling one Large Bank pick.

We’re changing our ratings on two Canadian Royalty Trusts to ‘buy’ from ‘do not add,’ and we’re upgrading two other CANROYs to ‘do not add’ from ‘sell.’ We’re also upgrading five Real Estate Investment Trusts to ‘buy’ from ‘do not add.’ We’re continuing to advise against adding to positions in all Regional Banks and to three of our Insurance picks.

We’re also adding five new stocks to our Sample Portfolios and deleting two existing picks.

For the details, please go to our Premium Subscriber's page. 

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